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Expert Insights: Dollar Weakens Ahead of Fed Cut, Euro Steady, Yen Gains on BoJ Signals

US Dollar Index (DXY)

The dollar is on the back foot as traders price in a likely Fed rate cut. Weakening yield differentials and cautious investor sentiment are weighing on greenback demand.

Technical Outlook

  • DXY is trading around 97.7–98.0.
  • On the downside, a drop beneath 97.70 could open the way toward 96.90–96.50.
  • On the upside, a recovery past 98.50–99.00 would shift focus to 100.20 and 101.85.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD is holding up as the euro benefits from softer dollar pressure and growing unease in euro-area banking circles over dollar liquidity strains flagged by the European Central Bank. 

Technical Outlook

  • The pair sits near 1.159–1.160 on the open. 
  • As long as 1.152–1.155 holds, bullish momentum could test 1.1700 and, potentially, 1.1850.
  • A breakdown below 1.152 would likely target 1.138–1.130.

USD/JPY

The Yen strengthens on speculation that the BoJ could hike rates soon while the dollar loses traction. Japanese bond yields rising adds more weight to yen bullishness. 

Technical Outlook

  • USD/JPY trades around 155.8–156.1 currently. 
  • If buyers hold above 155.50, a push toward 157.50–158.00 remains possible.
  • If the pair slips below 154.80, support zones near 153.00–152.50 come into view.

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